Re: Why trains don't catch on here in the "ex-colonies".
Reply #82 –
By the numbers LA-LV should make a lot of sense, particularly for LV. In theory it makes a lot of sense (and profit for the cities). However, there are many more ways for a project to fail than to succeed, and once again it seems LA have picked all of them. They did so with the metro, they disembowelled their own HSR, and this line from LV is not projected to go to LA, but to the desert outside LA. Not a recipe for success.
It seems that everyone that don't have a personal interest in a line's success try to make it fail, so they do. The ones benefitting contribute nothing. While I lived in Oslo they built a metro station right outside my door. That new line added speed, strength and convenience to the system, but my biggest personal benefit was that the value of my apartment grew to half again what it would have been otherwise. The real estate boost runs in the billions. I paid nothing, except some extra taxes. Sweden is trying to significantly improve their local and national infrastructure part-financed by this. We'll see how this pans out. Sweden takes planning very seriously, any results would be decades in the future. If I got the mindset right, this could work out in LV, but be an abject failure in California.
If I were rail planner in California I think the most reasonable strategy would be to give up. If that wasn't an allowed exit strategy, I would start a bus company. Buy a dozen sensible location in town, partner with local retail, office, hotel and parking barons, with long term plans to convert into rail stations. One stop check-in, tracking the passengers and their luggage so that they end up where they are supposed to, shop-while-you-wait. Buses providing a level of service comparable with trains, for work or play. This could be combined with a stack-em-high service for volume, buses are cheap, it's the stations we need to develop.